What size AC for Buffalo, MN? 2 tons for 2,000 sq ft
What size AC a 2,000 sq ft house in Buffalo needs
2 tons central AC or heat pump, about 24,100 BTU/hr of load
The 20 BTU per square foot chart would put in 3.5 tons, about 74% more than this climate needs. An oversized unit cools the air fast, shuts off before it pulls moisture out, and leaves the house cold and clammy.
If a contractor quotes you more than 2 tons for an average 2,000 sq ft house here, ask to see the Manual J load calculation behind it before you sign. That works out to one ton per 996 square feet in this climate. For a single room, size by the room: 12.1 BTU/hr per square foot.
The climate it is sized for
Climate from NOAA's 1991 to 2020 normals at Buffalo 2ne (1.7 mi away). Jul is the hottest month, averaging a high of 80.9°F and a low of 61.2°F, with about 6 days a year at 90°F or more. That gives a design temperature of 85°F against 75°F inside.
What it costs to run
About 695 kWh a year at SEER2 14.3, or roughly $114 at Minnesota's average residential rate of 16.44¢ per kWh. Cooling runs 3 months of the year here.
What drives the load in Buffalo
Of the 24,100 BTU/hr, 7,200 comes through walls, roof and windows on a 85°F afternoon (30%), 13,000 is sun on the house (54%), 2,120 is four people and their appliances, and 1,800 is moisture the coil has to wring out of Buffalo's summer air (7%).
Sun is the biggest share here, more than heat through the walls, so shading west windows and a light roof cut the size you need more than extra insulation would. Sensible heat totals 22,320 BTU/hr before the moisture allowance.
Other house sizes in Buffalo
| House | Load, BTU/hr | Size | 20 BTU/ft² chart |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1,000 sq ft | 13,200 | 1.5 tons | 2 tons |
| 1,500 sq ft | 18,700 | 1.5 tons | 2.5 tons |
| 2,500 sq ft | 29,600 | 2.5 tons | 5 tons |
| 3,000 sq ft | 35,000 | 3 tons | 5 tons |
Single rooms with a window or mini-split unit: a 150 sq ft bedroom needs about 1,800 BTU/hr; a 350 sq ft living room needs about 4,200 BTU/hr; a 600 sq ft open plan kitchen and family room needs about 7,300 BTU/hr.
Month by month in Buffalo
| Month | Avg high | Cooling degree days | AC kWh |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 21.3°F | 0 | 0 |
| Feb | 26.5°F | 0 | 0 |
| Mar | 39.2°F | 0 | 0 |
| Apr | 54.3°F | 1 | 2 |
| May | 67.3°F | 24 | 32 |
| Jun | 76.8°F | 116 | 151 |
| Jul | 80.9°F | 200 | 261 |
| Aug | 78.6°F | 139 | 181 |
| Sep | 71.1°F | 48 | 62 |
| Oct | 56.6°F | 4 | 5 |
| Nov | 40.3°F | 0 | 0 |
| Dec | 26.7°F | 0 | 0 |
Jul alone uses 38% of the year's cooling energy. The unit runs the equivalent of 412 hours a year at full output.
Buffalo against nearby cities
| City | Distance | Design day | Size for 2,000 sq ft |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Michael, MN | 9 mi | 88°F | 2.5 tons |
| Monticello, MN | 9 mi | 86°F | 2 tons |
| Big Lake, MN | 13 mi | 86°F | 2 tons |
| Otsego, MN | 13 mi | 88°F | 2.5 tons |
| Rogers, MN | 14 mi | 88°F | 2.5 tons |
| Elk River, MN | 18 mi | 88°F | 2.5 tons |
Of 103 Minnesota cities here, Buffalo has the 91st highest cooling load. The range runs from Hibbing at 20,200 BTU/hr to Winona at 29,000.
Where Buffalo's weather numbers come from
The nearest NOAA station with full 1991 to 2020 normals is Buffalo 2ne, 1.7 miles from the center of Buffalo at 992 ft above sea level. That is close enough that the station's summers are Buffalo's summers.
No other city in this set uses Buffalo 2ne, so this sizing is Buffalo's alone.
The sun over Buffalo in late July
At 45.18°N, the noon sun on 21 July stands 65.2° above the horizon over Buffalo and the day runs 14 h 56 min from sunrise to sunset. A lower noon sun puts more of the day's heat on east and west walls than on the roof, which is why shading west glass pays off here. Long days mean the house keeps gaining heat into the evening, well after the outdoor peak.
16,736 people live in Buffalo, the 70th largest of the 103 Minnesota cities sized on this site. Coordinates used: 45.1795, -93.8640.
Buffalo AC sizing questions
What size AC does a 2,000 sq ft house in Buffalo, MN need?
About 2 tons, for a cooling load of 24,100 BTU/hr on a 85°F design day. That is one ton per 996 square feet in Buffalo's climate.
Is 20 BTU per square foot right for Buffalo?
The chart gives 3.5 tons for 2,000 sq ft, against 2 tons sized from NOAA's 1991 to 2020 normals at Buffalo 2ne. For a single room here, plan on 12.1 BTU/hr per square foot.
What does central AC cost to run in Buffalo?
About $114 a year: 695 kWh at SEER2 14.3 and 16.44¢ per kWh, over 3 cooling months.